I beg you, if you can, start creating markets and gaming it the same way this dude did.

If you can, you should, you'll make more mana, and you clearly will not be punished for it.

@Sex need I say more?

Honestly. After seeing this, I expect everyone else to do what this guy did.

At this point, if it is allowed to manipulate markets as an owner in this way, and close stuff in a clearly biased way. We all should do this.

Everyone who can manipulate their markets should start doing it to make their mana, I don't see why not.

Maybe then the owners will actually start to give a fuck.

You probably won't but I hope you get perma banned for this

Egregious.

If this image isn't enough evidence, I don't know what is.

@Sex You sound pretty confident, luckily I made a market for you on this question which is currently offering great odds

@Sex i don't think predictors actions are against the rules unfortunately

@ForrestTaylor I've already seen enough BS on this site to know that shit like this gets swept under the rug and people forget about it sooner than later.

but bs to this extent? Bitch please!

@Sex oh. you kept saying that "this dude will be banned". So I decided to set up a market on the question.

@Sex I will not resolve this market N/A, nor do I intend to bet in it

@Predictor made about 500 on this market
https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-predictors-which-team-will-win

oops im too stupid to do an embed

Hot take from a non-bettor: this market was run really badly, but it's somewhat logical to resolve N/A for this reason: if the Eagles won, it would've been unclear which choice to resolve to, so N/A would be right, and then counterfactually you have to resolve N/A if the Chiefs win as well so as not to inflate their win rate.

I think it's clear that Predictor should've established a policy on the Eagles misspelling beforehand. I also think that policy should be: if typos are made, it's obvious what is meant, and people bet on those options, you should let the typos stand. Unless you have an established policy of only correct spellings.

As for Predictor's stated justification for resolving N/A, it seems very dumb to me. Don't Chiefs bettors still get some profit for YES, as opposed to none? Unfair to people arbitraging this market with others.

@Conflux in the first paragraph, I mean "inflate their win probability on this market"

@Conflux ...and to be clear, it is also still bad that free response markets don't have fixed payouts.

@Conflux It's solved for next year. All teams are added and spelt correctly. Market stays open until the end of the game.

@Predictor let's just hope they don't change their name to the Eeagles

@Conflux Oh also, gross that Predictor made 500 insider-trading on this: https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-predictors-which-team-will-win

...hopefully that wasn't a factor in their resolution???

@Conflux not a good look for sure.

@Conflux based on the timing, it seems that predictor decided to resolve it n/a, bet on that market, and then resolved it n/a

bruh

Fair.