Will any event of the Paris 2024 Olympic Games be postponed or cancelled due to the water quality of the Seine?
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resolved Jul 30
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YES

It also counts as YES if an event is moved to a venue other than the Seine river ahead of time because of water quality concerns.

Background:

Seine River events scrapped again, renewing doubts over Paris Olympics plan

Paris Olympics promises Seine clean-up after pollution spoils triathlon | Financial Times

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This market maker is gone-zo. Mods can resolve.

Looks like you're right. I had assumed the market was created more recently but it's almost a year old. Thanks @Pob for the prescient market...

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

@Pob See this message from World Triathlon on Twitter:

https://x.com/worldtriathlon/status/1818118725544866113/photo/1

bought Ṁ500 YES

Official also on the Olympics.com website.

Monday's training session in the Seine was canceled due to water quality, according to L'Equipe:

https://www.lequipe.fr/Jo-2024-paris/Tous-sports/Actualites/Le-second-entrainement-de-triathlon-des-jo-egalement-annule-en-raison-de-la-pollution-dans-la-seine/1486394

The first event in the Seine is supposed to be Tuesday (like a bit over 12 hours from now).

bought Ṁ350 YES

https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/olympics/triathlon-swim-river-seine-pollution-cancelled-b2587113.html

I assume a practice session doesn't count as an "event", but not looking great.

Every time it rains, the bacteria levels go up. They seem to stay up for several days. It rained a lot Friday and Saturday. The first event here is coming up soon.

I bought a lot of Yes shares at 50%.

bought Ṁ150 YES

Someone said it is supposed to rain in the next couple days, which will probably increase the ick factor.

bought Ṁ250 YES

Acc thinks I'm really wrong on this one, but.....

According to a report published by the Paris region and mayor's office, analysis shows the water does 'not meet the standards' set for the 2024 Olympic Games' open-water events, citing the presence of two kinds of fecal bacteria, including E. Coli.


If the river is too polluted when the Olympics kick off, plan B is to postpone the open-water swimming events for a few days – not to move them to a new location.

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/france/article/2024/06/21/paris-seine-river-water-too-dirty-to-allow-olympic-swimming-events_6675386_7.html

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