Will the winner of Arizona in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
Basic
8
Ṁ947
Dec 1
98%
chance

Will the candidate that wins Arizona get more than 50% of the votes in Arizona? This would resolve NO if the candidate gets only a plurality (more votes than any other candidate), but not a majority, as happened last time.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules