Will the tipping point state in the 2024 election be decided by <1%?
Plus
21
Ṁ32kresolved Nov 13
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
The tipping point state is the state that gives the winning candidate their 270th electoral vote (or whatever number is needed to win, if the number of electors ever changes), when the states are ordered by the margin of victory. In 2020, that was Wisconsin, where Biden won by 0.63%. Will the margin in the tipping point state once again be <1%?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.1%?
31% chance
What will the tipping-point state be in the 2024 POTUS election?
What will be the gap between the popular vote and the tipping point state in 2024?
In which state will the tipping point House seat be located in the 2024 US Election?
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 0.1%?
8% chance
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.5%?
95% chance
Will tipping-point state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election be Georgia?
1% chance
Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
7% chance
Will at least 20 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
96% chance
Will at least 25 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
5% chance