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Will there be at least one state where Joe Biden doesn't get first place in the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in that state?
See also: /JosephNoonan/will-donald-trump-lose-a-single-sta
Note: Only states count, not territories.
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Not sure how I missed this one. Yeah, it resolves NO even though it appears he won't be the nominee.
Who do people think is going to take a state from him? RFK Jr. is no longer running in the primary, so now it's just Biden, Williams, and I guess Dean Phillips (I had never even heard of him until I just looked up whether there was anyone else in the primaries). Do people think Gavin Newsom is going to swoop in and declare candidacy last-minute?
@JosephNoonan He failed to get on the ballot in New Hampshire. So he has to be written in.
@BTE Yeah, I don't think it will be a big deal for him, though. It's not like people don't know who Biden is or that he's running. I actually have a market specifically about that:
I think hes gonna take one off joe
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4050002-rfk-jr-ranks-higher-in-favorability-vs-major-2024-candidates-poll/
Robert Kennedy Jr at 20% of democratic vote in some recent polls.