Who do people think is going to take a state from him? RFK Jr. is no longer running in the primary, so now it's just Biden, Williams, and I guess Dean Phillips (I had never even heard of him until I just looked up whether there was anyone else in the primaries). Do people think Gavin Newsom is going to swoop in and declare candidacy last-minute?

@JosephNoonan He failed to get on the ballot in New Hampshire. So he has to be written in.

@BTE Yeah, I don't think it will be a big deal for him, though. It's not like people don't know who Biden is or that he's running. I actually have a market specifically about that:

@JosephNoonan Find me the last time a write in candidate won a primary.

@BTE Find me the last time a sitting president was a write-in candidate.

I think hes gonna take one off joe
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4050002-rfk-jr-ranks-higher-in-favorability-vs-major-2024-candidates-poll/

Robert Kennedy Jr at 20% of democratic vote in some recent polls.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/news.yahoo.com/amphtml/robert-f-kennedy-jr-whats-behind-the-anti-vaccine-activists-surprising-polling-strength-200240263.htmlat

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: What’s behind the anti-vaccine activist’s surprising polling strength?

Despite his many fringe beliefs, up to 20 percent of Democratic voters say they’d consider supporting the political dynasty’s most controversial member over President Biden in the Democratic primary.

Exactly one or at least one?

@JimHays at least one