Will Biden receive more than 80% of the vote in every state primary or caucus on Super Tuesday?
US Politics2024 US Presidential ElectionJoe BidenSuper Tuesday
Mini
39
Ṁ28k
resolved Mar 6
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Biden wins more than 80% of the vote in every state that holds their Democratic primary or caucus on March 5, 2024. So far, he has gotten more than 80% in every state except New Hampshire, where he wasn't on the ballot and won 64% as a write-in candidate.

Get Ṁ600 play money

Related questions

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ710
2Ṁ262
3Ṁ150
4Ṁ147
5Ṁ104
5 Comments
36 Holders
53 Trades
Sort by:

Biden currently has 69.8% of the vote in Minnesota with 77% estimated reporting. This makes him mathematically guaranteed to get less than 10% of the vote if the estimated vote totals, even if the estimated votes in is off by 10%.

bought Ṁ10,000 NO

@PlasmaBallin Biden loses American Samoa

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@nikki This is only state primaries or caucuses. But it will almost certainly resolve NO anyway. He's at less than 70% in Minnesota.

bought Ṁ600 NO

Hope this NYT data is right. Biden needs 91% for outstanding vote to get to 80%, and his best county is 85% (Oklahoma)

@AlQuinn I think this data is correct. He's also significantly below 80% in Minnesota.

Related in US Politics

See more US Politics questions

Related in 2024 US Presidential Election

See more 2024 US Presidential Election questions

Related in Joe Biden

See more Joe Biden questions

Related in Super Tuesday

See more Super Tuesday questions

More related questions