If the probability is at least 1% at close, I will use Fairly Random to generate a random integer between 1 and 100 times the closing probability, inclusive. So, for example, if this market closes at 50%, I will generate a random integer ≥1 and ≤50. If the number is prime, this market will resolve to Yes, and otherwise, it resolves to No.

If the closing probability is less than 1%, I will resolve the market to Yes, since it is vacuously true that, if I generate a random number between 1 and [some number less than 1], it will be prime.

Close date updated to 2023-03-01 11:59 pm