Wisconsin is one of the most egregiously gerrymandered states in the country, with Republicans consistently winning nearly 2/3 of the seats in the legislature, despite it being an evenly divided swing state. However, liberals now have a majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, making it likely that the current gerrymandered maps will be struck down, allowing Democrats to potentially win a majority.

This market uses the same criteria as /JosephNoonan/will-wisconsins-gerrymandered-state to determine what counts as the maps being struck down, except that only the map for the State Assembly needs to be struck down. If that map is not struck down before the election, or if the old map is still used, then this market resolves N/A. Otherwise, it resolves the same as /JosephNoonan/will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-a7def3d60d9c

https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/voting-rights/2023/8/3/23818858/wisconsin-gerrymander-clarke-wisconsin-election-commision-supreme-court-janet-protasiewicz

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/wisconsin-supreme-court-2024-election-gerrymander-abortion/

What the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Could Mean for the 2024 Election, Gerrymandered Maps and Abortion | FRONTLINE

FRONTLINE takes a closer look at the potential state- and national-level ramifications of Wisconsin Supreme Court’s judicial election.

See also:

/JosephNoonan/will-wisconsins-gerrymandered-state

/JosephNoonan/will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-a7def3d60d9c

/JosephNoonan/if-the-gerrymandered-maps-are-struc-7878fffb4aef