For which events will Manifold change its logo in 2024?

Basic

Ṁ25k

Jan 1

93%

12/25 Christmas

40%

12/21 Winter Solstice (or winter in general)

39%

12/31 New Year's Eve

Resolved

YES

10/31 Halloween

Resolved

YES

11/28 Thanksgiving

Resolved

YES

03/31 Easter

Resolved

YES

04/01 April Fools Day

Resolved

N/A

Groundhog Day

Resolved

N/A

Blue Monday

Resolves YES for all events which cause Manifold to temporarily change the logo displayed on the top left of the site to be themed after the event. The logo change does not necessarily have to happen on the exact date(s) listed if the event takes multiple days or is associated with a longer time period (e.g., the seasons). The dates listed are also subject to change if the event could be rescheduled (e.g., the first U.S. presidential debate). If an event is canceled, it resolves N/A.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Manifold Business Future

#Manifold Features

#Christmas

#2024 Summer Olympics

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25 Comments

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normies winning here. as a normie, i approve

@PlasmaBallin

bought Ṁ400 YES

@PlasmaBallin

bought Ṁ25 NO

@PlasmaBallin labor day, fall equinox, & cash prizes day resolve NO

@PlasmaBallin looks like this can be NO?

bought Ṁ693 NO

@PlasmaBallin didn't see a logo change yesterday - this one can resolve no 🦅

@PlasmaBallin resolve more no

bought Ṁ334 NO

@PlasmaBallin some of these can resolve 🚀

bought Ṁ75 NO

hey @PlasmaBallin - mind resolving the June dates? 🙏

reposted

any pivot logo change bets?

This can resolve NO

bought Ṁ10 YES

election day for sure

bought Ṁ150 YES

@PlasmaBallin apparently we got 2 logo changes in 2 days.

I am going to buy so much YES shares in this market!

sold Ṁ13 YES

Our first positive resolution. I wonder if this decreases the probability that April Fool's Day resolves YES since they might not want to introduce a new logo two days in a row.

bought Ṁ35 YES

bought Ṁ120 NO

Resolve NO?

@RS This one doesn't resolve NO, note in the description:

The logo change does not necessarily have to happen on the exact date(s) listed if the event takes multiple days or is associated with a longer time period (e.g., the seasons)

@RS The date is just there so you can easily order things by using the A-Z sort

sold Ṁ144 NO

@PlasmaBallin ah gotcha, thanks

Wrong date @PlasmaBallin

@nikki whoops

Can resolve NO?

bought Ṁ200 NO

Can resolve NO?

bought Ṁ100 NO

Can resolve NO?

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