For which events will Manifold change its logo in 2024?
33
3.9kแน€26k
resolved Jan 24
Resolved
YES
10/31 Halloween
Resolved
YES
11/28 Thanksgiving
Resolved
YES
12/25 Christmas
Resolved
YES
03/31 Easter
Resolved
YES
04/01 April Fools Day
Resolved
N/A
Groundhog Day
Resolved
N/A
Blue Monday
Resolved
NO
04/22 Earth Day
Resolved
NO
03/05 Super Tuesday
Resolved
NO
08/? Cash prizes release day
Resolved
NO
05/15 The Pivot release
Resolved
NO
03/08 International Women's Day
Resolved
NO
03/10 The Oscars
Resolved
NO
03/14 Pi Day
Resolved
NO
03/19 Spring equinox (or spring in general)
Resolved
NO
04/08 "Great North American Eclipse"
Resolved
NO
05/04 Star Wars Day
Resolved
NO
05/05 Cinco de Mayo
Resolved
NO
05/12 Mother's Day
Resolved
NO
05/27 Memorial Day

Resolves YES for all events which cause Manifold to temporarily change the logo displayed on the top left of the site to be themed after the event. The logo change does not necessarily have to happen on the exact date(s) listed if the event takes multiple days or is associated with a longer time period (e.g., the seasons). The dates listed are also subject to change if the event could be rescheduled (e.g., the first U.S. presidential debate). If an event is canceled, it resolves N/A.

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€183
2แน€133
3แน€130
4แน€103
5แน€70
Sort by:

@PlasmaBallin can the rest resolve?

@10thOfficial The Christmas one was specifically named that in the code:

https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/commit/f5cbc1f3fdc88699fd225ade6bbfe654b50a3fde

I'll resolve that one Yes.

Looks like New Year's Eve is No.

But the Winter in General one is ambiguous, this commit says Winter in it:

https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/commit/8be5903c42068375ea5dd5a39ce8d8fc1671dc0d

@SG do you call this 'winter in general' or nah?

bought แน€5 YES

Late Christmas or "winter in general"?

@ProjectVictory I mean the snowflake could be winter in general but there's literally a santa hat? that's specifically christmas

bought แน€15 YES

@Ziddletwix And with the timing, I interpret it as a Christmas thing

feel bad as a potential war (on christmas) profiteer

@PlasmaBallin you can safely resolve now, fox news concedes defeat

normies winning here. as a normie, i approve

bought แน€400 YES
bought แน€25 NO

@PlasmaBallin labor day, fall equinox, & cash prizes day resolve NO

@PlasmaBallin looks like this can be NO?

bought แน€693 NO

@PlasmaBallin didn't see a logo change yesterday - this one can resolve no ๐Ÿฆ…

@PlasmaBallin resolve more no

bought แน€334 NO

@PlasmaBallin some of these can resolve ๐Ÿš€

bought แน€75 NO

hey @PlasmaBallin - mind resolving the June dates? ๐Ÿ™

reposted

any pivot logo change bets?

This can resolve NO

This can resolve NO

bought แน€10 YES

election day for sure

bought แน€150 YES

@PlasmaBallin apparently we got 2 logo changes in 2 days.

I am going to buy so much YES shares in this market!

sold แน€13 YES

Our first positive resolution. I wonder if this decreases the probability that April Fool's Day resolves YES since they might not want to introduce a new logo two days in a row.

bought แน€35 YES

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules