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MANIFOLD
When will the next Claude Fable be released?
1
Ṁ1kṀ50
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
N/A
Resolved
N/A
Not in 2026/No Release
Resolved
N/A
Before Jan 2027
Resolved
N/A
Before Dec 2026
Resolved
N/A
Before Nov 2026
Resolved
N/A
Before Oct 2026
Resolved
N/A
Before Sep 2026
Resolved
N/A
Before Aug 2026

Resolves YES when Anthropic's next Fable-class model is released to the public (e.g. Fable 5.1) This market will resolve YES even if the model's release is restricted to particular countries, as long as it is publicly available within those countries (a Glasswing situation would not count).

If the model is not named Fable, it can still resolve YES if public statements from Anthropic indicate it is a Mythos/Fable-class model, but new Opus/Sonnet/Haiku models would not cause this market to resolve YES, even if they were more capable then the current Fable 5 model.

At the time of the model's release, all options that are correct will resolve YES.

The cutoff for each month is midnight Pacific Time on the month's last day.

Market context
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