Will Timnit Gebru criticize Eliezer Yudkowsky, by name, before the end of 2022?
34%
chance
Jan 1, 2023
M$110 bet
This market resolves "YES" if in a public interview, debate, tweet, blog post, or other form of mass communication created by Timnit Gebru, she refers negatively to Eliezer Yudkowsky by name (e.g. a reference to MIRI does not count). A reference to only his first or last name, or a short nickname from the above, still counts, provided that it clearly refers to Eliezer Yudkowsky rather than any other person. An analogous reference made by another person in response to Gebru, even if she started this piece of media, does not count. Praise of Eliezer Yudkowsky also does not count.
PeterBerggren
Peter Berggren bought M$5 of NO
She doesn't tend to criticize influential EA/longtermism figures by name, unless they're already public figures outside of EA/longtermism (such as Peter Thiel).
0
noumena
Rachel Shu bought M$30 of YES
She’s on a roll, isn’t she?
0