In the "Project Hail Mary" movie, will a Beatles song be played during the scene where the beetles are launched?
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In the novel "Project Hail Mary" by Andy Weir, the eponymous spacecraft is equipped with four small unmanned spacecraft called "beetles," intended to be used to send data back to Earth in lieu of a radio transmitter. These beetles are named "John," "Paul," "George," and "Ringo," with a fifth testing article named "Pete" after the original Beatles drummer Pete Best.
This market resolves YES if, in the scene in the "Project Hail Mary" movie currently in development where the beetles are launched, a song written or performed by the Beatles is played. Note that covers by other artists of songs written by any of the Beatles count for a resolution, as do covers by any of the Beatles of songs written by other artists.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.