Will a Season 5 of Sherlock be announced, until end of 2023?
22%
chance

Will resolve YES if There is an official announcement from BBC (or whomever is the current owner of the TV series Sherlock) before jan 1. 2024

The Season does not have to release before 2024, only be announced.

If there is no official announcement of Sherlock season 5 before jan 1. 2024 it will resolve NO.