Laura Loomer recently claimed that a “massive Islamic terror attack” could take place in the US and suggested it could be “10 times worse than 9/11”

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if a terrorist attack occurs in the United States that results in more than 29,770 deaths (10 times the 9/11 death toll of 2,977 people). The market resolves NO if no such attack occurs by December 31, 2026. Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government casualty counts from federal agencies (FBI, DHS, or NIST) or major news organizations reporting confirmed death tolls. This market will resolve as YES even if Islam is revealed to have not actually been involved, but is blamed.

Background

Loomer claimed a "massive Islamic terror attack" could take place in the US and suggested it could be "10 times worse than 9/11" in a post on X on March 24, 2026. She did not cite any evidence, intelligence assessment or official warning to support the claim, instead framing it as a personal sense. US authorities have not issued any warning indicating a threat comparable to or "worse than 9/11," and the claim remains unverified.

Considerations

Since February 28, when the Iran war escalated following US and Israeli strikes, global security anxieties have risen sharply, with governments increasing alert levels and intelligence agencies warning of possible retaliatory threats. Loomer has a documented history of making unverified predictions about terrorist attacks and other events.

This description was generated by AI.