Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the New Orleans Pelicans officially trade him to another NBA franchise before the start of the 2026–27 NBA regular season.

This market resolves to NO if he is not traded before this time.

• Cutoff Time: The exact cutoff is the official tip-off time of the first game of the 2026–27 NBA regular season (expected in mid-to-late October 2026).

• Definition of Trade: A trade is considered official once announced by the participating teams, the NBA, or confirmed by primary league transactions databases such as NBA Transactions, RealGM Transactions, or Hoops Rumors. Handshake agreements or rumors that are not officially finalized and processed by the league before the cutoff do not qualify.

• Other Transactions: If Murphy is waived, bought out, or retires without being traded, this market will resolve to NO.

Background

Trey Murphy III signed a four-year, $112 million rookie-scale contract extension with the Pelicans in October 2024. Coming off a productive 2025–26 season where he averaged 21.5 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 3.8 assists, rumors have intensified that the Pelicans are actively listening to trade offers. Leading up to the 2026 NBA Draft, reports from league insiders indicate New Orleans is testing the market for Murphy in an effort to acquire a lottery pick. Several teams—including the Atlanta Hawks, Golden State Warriors, and Detroit Pistons—have been linked to potential trade packages.

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