The Russian army seems to have a manpower problem (again). The mobilization law is still in force, reports suggest that there are not enough volunteers, but, after the unpopularity of last September's mass mobilization, the authorities are hesitant to conduct another wave - especially before the presidential elections which are to take place on March 17, 2024.

This market resolves yes if there is a consensus by independent/Western media about a mass mobilization. The mobilization has to start before March 17, but I will only resolve at the end of March so that reports of a possible mobilization have time to surface.

UPD. Neither volunteers nor conscripts count for the purposes of this market's resolutions.