Will the territory controlled by Ukraine/Russia change significantly at any time before July 1, 2023? This would include major territorial gains or capture of important cities/objects.

Possible examples: Russian capture of Zaporizhzhia/Kherson, Ukrainian Capture of Melitopol. Not sufficient: capture of cities like Bakhmut (little strategic importance or territorial gains).

The resolution will be subjective to a degree, feel free to ask about any particular cases.

UPD: See also the comments from the sister market for some resolution examples.

See also: