Will Putin announce a 2024 presidency bid in 2023?
65%
chance

The Russian presidential elections are due to be held in March 2024. His spokesman stated in November that Putin has not yet decided whether he would run; however, the campaigns being what they are, he often announces his candidacy at the last moment. However, it is still widely expected that he has to announce at least three months in advance, that is, by the end of 2023.

This market resolves yes if, at any point during the year, Putin or his spokespeople announce that he is going to run, even if they don't submit the paperwork or reverse the decision later. I will resolve N/A if the 2024 elections are called off or posponed to May 2024 or later.