Will I get injured in the next year if I start lifting weights with[/out] professional guidance?
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resolved Jul 1
Resolved
N/A
without guidance
Resolved
N/A
with guidance

I'm considering starting lifting weights, and am nonzero concerned that I might hurt myself by accident, despite being a cautious sort!

How likely is it that, in my first year, I will suffer a ~week-long injury if I (a) pay a professional trainer person to guide me every couple weeks, vs (b) if I just look up on the internet how I should do things?

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When writing this market, I didn't consider the possibility that I would never start lifting weights! Now I want to N/A this market, but that sucks for anybody who put work into thinking about this market and is going to have that work obliterated.

So: I commit to paying everybody 256x much mana as if they'd won, with 1/256 probability, determined by whether the slot root hash of ETH block 20207283 ends in 00.

Looks like it ends in d0! Phew.

Aaaaand, it looks like I can't N/A the market, so I'll just resolve to PROB(current).

Wait, no, that shuffles money around unfairly. I'll ask a mod to N/A it.

Both are very unlikely unless you exercise extremely recklessly and/or have relevant health problems.

If you were to start lifting without guidance, what exercises do you think you might like to do? Isolation exercises with machines, large compound exercises with a barbell, etc.?

Will you watch instructional videos to help you learn proper form for new exercises?

Would you start off light and gradually increase the weight, or would you try to start with something that feels sufficiently challenging?

What is your BMI?

Do you have any existing health problems that might increase your injury risk?

  • Exercises: haven't researched. Things I can do at home without equipment that takes lots of money/space, ideally.

  • Instructional videos: yes, definitely.

  • Start light, gradual increase: yes, definitely.

  • BMI: 22.2

  • Existing health problems: none. Knees might be a little weak.

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