Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the price of Ethereum (ETH-USD) on June 22, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC is strictly higher than the price of Ethereum on June 15, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC.

This market will resolve to NO if the price is equal to or lower than the baseline price.

• Source of Truth: The price will be determined using the hourly candle close for the respective times on the Yahoo Finance ETH-USD ticker.

• If Yahoo Finance data is unavailable or fails to provide the specific hourly data, the price will be verified using historical trading data from CoinGecko.

Background

Ethereum entered 2026 trading at approximately $3,000 USD but has experienced a downward trend throughout the first half of the year. Headwinds including consecutive weeks of ETF outflows, a 23% staff reduction at the Ethereum Foundation, and the postponement of the Glamsterdam hard fork upgrade to Q3 2026 have weighed heavily on price action.

As of June 15, 2026, ETH is hovering between $1,720 and $1,810 USD. Despite the mid-year selloff, short-term relief has been catalyzed by a risk-on rotation in broader markets following geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East. This market tracks whether ETH can maintain this upward momentum over a seven-day window.