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MANIFOLD
Will any NBA team trade up in the lottery in the NBA draft?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ20
Jun 26
51%
chance

Resolution criteria

The market will resolve to YES if any NBA team completes a trade during the 2026 NBA Draft cycle (defined as the period from the conclusion of the Draft Lottery on May 10, 2026, until the end of the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft on June 23, 2026) where they trade up in the lottery.

To qualify as "trading up in the lottery," a transaction must meet all of the following conditions:

  1. The Target Pick: The team must acquire a 2026 NBA Draft pick in the lottery range (picks 1 through 14, inclusive).

  2. The Asset Swapped: The acquiring team must send away at least one lower-value 2026 draft pick (e.g., a pick between 15 and 58, or a lower lottery pick) as part of the transaction.

  3. The Direction: The acquired 2026 lottery pick must be higher than any 2026 draft pick sent away by the acquiring team in the same transaction.

Specific Cases:

  • Trading into the lottery: If a team acquires a 2026 lottery pick (picks 1–14) by trading only players, cash, or future draft picks (and does not trade away any 2026 draft picks in the same trade), this will not count as trading up.

  • Official Source: Trades must be officially finalized or reported as agreed upon by credible NBA insiders (such as Shams Charania or official team/NBA announcements) and recognized by the NBA before the end of the first round of the draft.

If no such qualifying trade is completed, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

The 2026 NBA Draft Lottery took place on May 10, 2026, establishing the top 14 draft order:

  1. Washington Wizards

  2. Utah Jazz

  3. Memphis Grizzlies

  4. Chicago Bulls

  5. LA Clippers

  6. Brooklyn Nets

  7. Sacramento Kings

  8. Atlanta Hawks

  9. Dallas Mavericks

  10. Milwaukee Bucks

  11. Golden State Warriors

  12. Oklahoma City Thunder

  13. Miami Heat

  14. Charlotte Hornets

The first round of the 2026 NBA Draft is scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. This market tracks whether any franchise will successfully package their draft capital to move up into a higher draft position within these top 14 selections.

Market context
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