Resolves Yes if Tesla trades above 500.00 during the day but never closes higher than 500.00 in 2025.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) trades above $500.00 during intraday trading at any point in 2025 but never closes at or above $500.00 on any trading day in 2025. It resolves NO if Tesla closes at or above $500.00 on any trading day in 2025, or if the stock never trades above $500.00 intraday during the year.

Resolution will be verified using official market data from Yahoo Finance or CNBC.

Background

As of December 23, 2025, Tesla stock is flirting with the $500 level, making this a timely question. The stock's all-time closing record is $479.86, achieved in December 2024. Tesla's 52-week range is between $214.25 and $498.83, indicating significant volatility. The $500 threshold represents a psychologically important price level that the stock has approached but not yet closed above.

Considerations

This scenario requires Tesla to exhibit intraday volatility without sustained strength—a pattern that can occur during choppy trading sessions or when the stock rallies intraday but faces selling pressure into the close. Given Tesla's historical volatility and the proximity to $500, this outcome is plausible but depends on specific market conditions in the final days of 2025.