I'm playing Pokémon Ruby on a Game Boy Advance, original hardware, no mods or overclocks or anything beyond a screen mod and a new shell. I've saved in front of Groudon and am soft resetting to shiny hunt.
The odds of a shiny are 1 in 8192. I can turn around two reloads in a minute. I make that around 1.5% chance per hour of play of me encountering old mate.
I'm not playing 24:7 like a nerd, my primary playing is while rocking a baby to sleep, watching TV or on the loo.
This has been dragging on for two months now and any just RNGesus would give me my shiny Gordon any moment now so obviously it's completely sane to bet YES.
1,000
3.00
@Noit yay, congrats. Have been trying to get the same in pokemon go - you beat me to it!
@june Thanks! There should be one more series, I currently only have 5 gen 3 shinies with pretentious nicknames and I want a sixth to bring through to gen 9, but I have to decide what I want first.
What? THIS MARKET is evolving!
The midpoint update is that I’m still without Groudon. The meta update is that moving my market end to he morning gained me sleep but left me with reduced incentives until my market picked up a few more players. To solve this, this market will enter it’s final form. If I don’t catch by market close, you can get your bets in advance here on the next one: https://manifold.markets/Noit/when-will-i-catch-shiny-groudon-fin?r=Tm9pdA
Rest assured that the work continues to Gotta Catch This One.
I’ve been putting more hours in than previously advised over the last few days. Probably more like 3-4 hours per weekday. I’m expecting that to carry on for a few days and then crash before the weekend as I’ll be out and about with family. Next week, who knows.
If you want a Pokémon market that’s not dictated by the whims of my schedule, I’ve set I this market on what the next main series game announced will be.