Will I catch a shiny Groudon in the next two weeks? Round 2
26
50
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resolved Aug 8
Resolved
NO

I'm playing Pokémon Ruby on a Game Boy Advance, original hardware, no mods or overclocks or anything beyond a screen mod and a new shell. I've saved in front of Groudon and am soft resetting to shiny hunt.

The odds of a shiny are 1 in 8192. I can turn around two reloads in a minute. I make that around 1.5% chance per hour of play of me encountering old mate.

I'm not playing 24:7 like a nerd, my primary playing is while rocking a baby to sleep, watching TV or on the loo.

Round 1 was a bust but I still want the tennis ball looking idiot so here's another market on whether it happens.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

For the record, I am not rooting against you. I would be really happy for you if you caught one. And as medic, I am not opposed to pocketing snipers. I don’t like how much I look like a hater for my trades here…..

predicted YES

@june Get yo mana, bet against me again, eventually I will win. That or I’ll succumb to RSI.

predicted YES

Midpoint update: No Groudon yet!