What will be the next three purchases that I make because of this list? (400M bounties)
What will be the next three purchases that I make because of this list? (400M bounties)
7
438Ṁ201Jan 1
77%
The thing that changed my life, more than any other in the past few years, is my purchase of a bidet attachment. Using toilet paper now seems primitive and backwards I’d say it’s the one object that has enhance my wellbeing the most.
64%
A laptop stand
64%
Good quality pillows
62%
Philips Hue or other high quality adjustable brightness/warmness lighting
50%
Tailored button down shirts
36%
Wireless earphones
29%
Modafinil
Please suggest things that would be nice or good to purchase that I wouldn't have purchased by default. The scope is broad. If I pick something that was suggested by you, I'll send you 400M.
As an example, my friend recently suggested I buy 3 phone batteries so I never have the issue of having an uncharged phone battery and I did that (this would count as a single purchase for the purposes of this market).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.