Image from my security camera.

The red area will be the deciding factor here but there is a pretty even layer of snow right now, 135 mm (5 in) thick, on top of the grass.

If there is grass visible (according to my fairest judgment) in a clear majority (let's say ~70%) of this red area by midnight between 30/11 and 1/12 this market resolves to YES. If it's about 50/50 or less it resolves to NO.

Current weather forecast below (I will add updated forecasts in comments every day or every couple of days):

Temperatures are obviously in °C and daily high/low.