Once all states have certified their 2024 presidential election results, this resolves to 20 times the percent of the popular vote that went to someone other than the Republican nominee (i.e. Trump) or the Democratic nominee (i.e. Harris), based on the New York Times vote tracker. If it is impossible to determine the 3rd party vote share based on this tracker, or NYT does not have a vote tracker in 2024, I will use CNN's vote tracker. If CNN also doesn't have a vote tracker, I will resolve based on reporting by credible media. If the 3rd party vote share is greater than 5%, this will resolve YES.

As an example, NYT's 2020 vote tracker gave a 3rd-party vote share of 1.9%, so in 2020, this would have resolved to 38%. If necessary, I will round the number this market is supposed to resolve to. Note that this tracker only gives the vote share of the two major candidates, so the 1.9% number is the output of the calculation, 100%-((Trump vote share)+(Biden vote share)). I expect it may be necessary to use this calculation to resolve this market.