This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Society" album is in the number 1 position on the Billboard 200 chart for 10 or more consecutive weeks following its drop. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The first week following the album drop is defined as the first Billboard week that takes into account Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Society" album.
This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the album dropped off #1 before reaching 10 consecutive weeks at #1 following its drop.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,100 | |
| 2 | Ṁ603 | |
| 3 | Ṁ354 | |
| 4 | Ṁ331 | |
| 5 | Ṁ205 |
@NielS Looks like this is YES? https://www.billboard.com/music/chart-beat/taylor-swift-tortured-poets-department-10th-week-number-one-billboard-200-chart-1235720993/
Taylor Swift’s The Tortured Poets Department achieves a 10th consecutive and total week at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 chart (dated July 6).
(From Billboard.com)
Pretty crazy in some way. There only been a few artists last 20 years who went like 10 weeks in a row top 1. I would say this is not even swift her best album ever, my girlfriend is a big fan and she doesn't even like it lol. I think it's partly because 1 it's taylor swift and 2 she found a way to pump her numbers up by releasing new versions of her album.
it was already pretty clear she would be keep pushing out new versions to inflate sales.
Hmmm, I'm curious, is it possible to check if this actually made a decisive difference in any of the weeks by the end? I saw a lot of buzz about that, but each week that I saw the numbers broken down, it seems like it didn't actually end up making a meaningful difference (but I didn't see the numbers each week).
FWIW, a huge advantage she had is definitely that the album is insanely long. Billboard includes some form of streaming equivalent units, so if fans listen to each song the same # of times, but your album is very long, that boosts your numbers. my sense is that the raw length of the album was more important than the re-releases
@Panfilo put a short term limit order up @ 80% if you want some more action!
Yeah totally fair. The projections I’ve seen have been pretty decent so far and the gap seems large enough (with barely any weekly drop) I feel pretty sure TTPD should be at least “favored” to stay on top… but 80% is giving very good odds; so not super confident it’s still a good bet at 4-1. (And even if it does resolve yes, not sure those were good odds)
Kalshi (6/17):
>10 weeks: 71%
>12 weeks: 41%
https://kalshi.com/markets/topalbumrecord/album-record#topalbumrecord-ttpb