Will Rafael Nadal announce his retirement from professional tennis before 2024?
41
closes Jan 1
14%
chance

This resolves to YES if Rafael Nadal announces, before January 1, 2024, his retirement from professional tennis through an official channel such as a press conference, an interview, or an official social media account. The resolution depends on the date of the announcement not the date of the last game played.

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Sort by:
d avatar
Vobought Ṁ50 of NO
5 replies
d avatar
Vopredicts NO

@d Doesn’t seem like he will announce it soon

NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dsold Ṁ13 of YES

@d Yeah. Though he could still clearly say Paris will be when he retires, which would count as an announcement

d avatar
Vopredicts NO

@NicoDelon He could and he has (probably), as you previously mentioned. But none of these have been “official announcements” and I highly doubt he will officially announce his retirement more that 2 months in advance, even less 5 months in advance

d avatar
Vopredicts NO

@NicoDelon Federer announces it officially like a week in advance 😆

NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dpredicts YES

@d Agree there hasn’t been an official announcement and there may not be before the end of the year. I stand to lose mana but that’s how it is.

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

Rephrase question?

Announce his retirement from professional tennis

Instead of announce his professional retirement

1 reply
NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dpredicts YES
NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dpredicts YES

So, he’s already said 2024 will probably be his last year. To me that’s not quite official and definitive enough, but I’d be surprised if he didn’t make any announcement to confirm this by the end of the year. @d ?

4 replies
d avatar
Vopredicts NO

@NicoDelon The criteria state it being official, when he does make it official I expect it to be all over Twitter and his Instagram of course (not a requirement but highly likely).

I've definitely read/heard him say 2024 will be his last season, but my guess is he will at least want to play RG one last time, and I don't think it's very likely he will officially announce his retirement 6 months in advance (legends should go out with some hype 😆).
78% seemed too high for me, but 30-50% seems more reasonable to me.

If I'm not mistaken, Federer played his last match at the Laver Cup on Friday, September 23, 2022. And Federer announced his retirement from the ATP Tour and grand slams on September 15, 2022. I think Nadal might go out like this as well.

d avatar
Vobought Ṁ10 of NO

@NicoDelon is there a reason you think otherwise?
I might be missing something because you also have stakes on higher % in this market

d avatar
Vopredicts NO

@d
@SANTIAGOSUAREZ what do you think?

NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dpredicts YES

@d No that’s plausible. I honestly thought he would have made the announcement earlier.

NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dpredicts YES
NicoDelon avatar
Nico Dpredicts YES
NGK avatar
Nicholas Kardissold Ṁ46 of NO

Lost confidence in Rafa after his performance the past couple months. I think he calls it after Roland Garros