I will assess "frequent" by using a heuristic: if the topic is substantially discussed (not just in passing) at least once during more than three (>3) debates, all debates combined (GOP and/or DNC primaries and/or general election debates).
1,000
3.00@traders now that the price is correct I will sell my shares to leave mana for you on the table. My selling does not mean I will not resolve NO. Unless a new debate happens and the condition is met, this will resolve NO.
@traders this can only resolve YES if there is another debate since it didn’t come up yesterday. Therefore this should be lower (probably significantly so) than the probability that there will be a third debate (a fourth debate sounds extremely unlikely). The relevant markets are around 40% right now.
Note: I considered the mention of student loans but: (1) this was Trump going on a tangent, unprompted; (2) Harris didn’t reply on this point; (3) the moderators didn’t bring it up nor did they follow up on this point; (4) the words ‘university’ or ‘college’ or even ‘schools’ or ‘education’ do not appear in the transcript. I rule that this is a clear case of ‘in passing’.
Was discussed substantially regarding HBCUs in the first debate, but I think the next debate being down to under 60% likelihood means this should still degrade somewhat.
+1. That’s 2/4.
DeSantis talked about worthless degrees and ideology. They talked about antisemitism on campuses again.
I count the discussion of antisemitism on US campuses at the third GOP debate toward the resolution. That's one. As far as I can tell from the transcripts, it was not a substantial point of discussion in either of the first two debates. Correct me if I'm wrong.