Will Cornel West receive >= 1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
US Politics•2024 US Presidential Election•Cornel West
12
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Nov 6
39%
chance

He's running!

Resolves YES if Cornel West receives at least 1.0 percent of the total number of votes cast in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

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bought Ṁ10 of NO

The real question is whether he can beat Ralph Nader =)

bought Ṁ50 of NO

https://manifold.markets/AaronKreider/will-cornel-west-receive-01-of-the

Will Cornel West receive >= 0.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
7% chance.
predicts NO

What percentage of the popular vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive?
Only counting candidates on the ballot (not write-in) in at least one state.

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/05/cornel-west-president-00100206

Cornel West announces he’s running for president
“I have decided to run for truth and justice, which takes the form of running for president of the United States as a candidate for the People’s Party,” West said.
predicts NO
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