Will classified documents be a frequent talking point in the US presidential debates?
23
87
450
Nov 10
40%
chance

I will assess "frequent" by using a heuristic: if classified documents are substantially discussed (not just in passing) at least once during more than three (3) debates, all debates combined (GOP and/or DNC primaries and/or general election debates).

The question is not restricted to Biden, Pence, or Trump.

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Still no mention (correct me if I’m wrong).

Not mentioned at any of the GOP debates so far.

How does this market resolve if there aren't three debates?

predicts YES

@Jai N/A but I doubt there’ll be fewer than three debates total (both parties primaries + pre election debates).

predicts YES
predicts YES

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