4
Will Joe Biden literally run in 2024?
70
closes 2024
66%
chance

Resolves YES if Joe Biden runs in 2024, with both feet off the ground.

Apr 13, 11:00am: Will Joe Biden run in 2024? → Will Joe Biden literally run in 2024?

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StrayClimb avatar
Reynolds

Will Elon musk in 2023?

ForrestTaylor avatar
Forrest Taylorbought Ṁ15 of YES
NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Young

@ForrestTaylor Good to see he's staying active

JoshuaB avatar
Joshua

Anyone know what the base rate is for Biden running? Did he run in 2022?

Gen avatar
Genzy

Will this market resolve if he jumps? How far apart do the feet need to be when he takes stride

NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Young

@Gen It’ll probably end up being a “know it when I see it” situation, but a standing jump won’t suffice; he must be moving. I don’t see any reason to specify a distance that his feet should be apart.

NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Young

This was an April Fool's market. He's maybe a bit old to run.

jack avatar
Jack

@NcyRocks Can you edit the title with that? This question keeps showing up in the related markets and I have to remember that it's from April 1 lol

NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Young

I considered leaving it as-is as a reminder to read the description, but after thinking it over I decided I don't like misleading titles hanging around. I haven't made the April Fool's thing explicit in the question but I think it's clear enough?

jack avatar
Jack

@NcyRocks thanks. Yeah as a general rule I believe the community norm is that misleading titles are bad and should not be allowed (with some leeway for jokes)

JimHays avatar
Jim Hays

Does it resolve NO if this does not happen?

NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Young

@JimHays I mean, if there’s no evidence of it. Hard to know for sure without constant surveillance

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