Should have asked this before I bought in, but I’m confused by how this market is setup. The percentages don’t sum to 100, but they’re also not independent, so I can’t predict a specific number for each candidate. Also, I can’t bet against a candidate (I expect DeSantis to get 0% because I don’t think he’ll be on the ballot unless Trump dies). Am I misunderstanding the question?

@MitchLindgren That's weird that the percentages don't sum to 100% - they used to and they should. This market uses an old multiple-choice mechanism that is way worse than the current one. If this market is busted enough that answers don't even sum to 100%, I might N/A it. I made another version of this market with the better mechanism here: /NcyRocks/what-proportion-of-the-electoral-vo-468597c25d7f

What percentage of the electoral vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

@ManifoldDream Ambitious forecast for the Purple Party.

@ManifoldDream And Libertarians.