How far into 2023 will the sequel to "The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild" release?
25%
chance
Resolves to the percentage of the year that has passed in UTC when I can soonest play the game.
Resolves NO if (by some miracle) the game releases before 2023, YES if after 2023.

Yeah, end of the financial year seems likely, as with Breath of the Wild (released on the 3rd of March, which is about 17%). But if it's beyond that, it could be pretty far beyond.
James Grugett bought M$20 of NO21 days ago
I would guess ~March