A newborn baby is, in a relevant way, less conscious than an adult cow

People should be required to answer Aella's surveys like jury duty or the census, and if they don't they should but hunted down by the survey bounty hunters.

It was an error not to have more top forecasters speaking about subjects of interest on the main stage.

Large institutions are often dysfunctional even though they're full of individually functional people whose behavior is, on its own, reasonable.

We should consider using AI waifus to honeytrap capability researchers in order to slow down AI capability research.

Mother’s child protective instincts were developed at a time of much higher infant mortality. Today, we should tamp down their excesses.

The best part about freezing your eggs? The fentanyl.

Prediction market people should try and set up businesses in the UK where they are much less regulated

Maybe you should short Nvidia stock.

Creative organizations often try out too many new ideas. Manifold is one such organization.

Samotsvety forecasters should be named senior research fellows at FRI so that they sound more credible in normie media (Dylan Matthews, paraphrased)

We are all Jewish cyber-priests (Emmett Shear)

Dueling should be legal

Question generation could be easier

"Cheating" in non-zero-sum games is Good.

Prediction markets for HR and business intelligence were a fantastic use case - thank you, RH