If the SNP drops more than 20% within 3 weeks before 2024, will the % drop of Tesla be more than 1.5x of the % drop of Coke over the first 3 weeks of the afore-mentioned drop?
4
120Ṁ100
resolved Jan 15
Resolved
N/A

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

📢Resolved to N/A ; Did not happen (Conditional market)

what the fuck

So, do you mean "within a three week period prior to 2024?" It could easily be read as "in the three weeks prior to 2024" or "the last three weeks in 2023".

Also, why do you make reference to "three weeks" twice in the question? What if the 20 percent red drop happens in 3 days or even 2 weeks? What is the ultility of the "first three weeks of aforementioned drop?"

I can't think of a single useful reason for the three week window, as opposed to a month or even a fortnight. It seems abitrary and highly irregular. What is priced in 3 week contracts even? Why did you choose this length of window?

@BTEF2P Following up again?

this is one hell of a bespoke derivative

@Treldman Anything for the group chat.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules