How could I improve my manifund application? "Community Epistemic Tools" (Rewards for good answers)
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Suggestions to consider:
* reduce minimum funding + goal and increase deadline. $50k+ this month seems optimistic
* link something other than Estimaker's homepage that redirects to login. I'm hesitant to login and share my information with an unknown app I've never seen
* link source code where it says open source, can't easily find it
* remove summary, testimonials, duplicate funding section, past/future projects (doubtful, wikis, debates)
* dropping podcasts from the proposal since that'd be 3 forecasting podcasts around Manifold. Podcasts don't seem information-dense and don't seem to get many views:
https://open.spotify.com/show/48VUXIXijTVar35AMoB2IX
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTiI0TJ45T5mMSRT4nUDWe2OtvYgTg-4V

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLAA8NhPG-VO_PnBm3EkxGYObLIMs4r2wZ

1y

I don't have much to say (the application looks good to me), but this looks very cool! I quite like the observation that a big challenge is that we don't have good enough tools and easy enough processes to aid decision making.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

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