Neat idea. I'm curious to see what happens with a longer time frame and slightly different rules.

When you say "changes from below 50% to above 50%" or vice-versa, do you mean that it has to be below 50% five minutes before close and then above 50% at close (or vice-versa), or does it just have to be below 50% at one point five minutes before close, and above 50% at a later point?

@JosephNoonan Yeah that’s a big difference. Is it just the difference between T-5 and T0 or at anytime if it crosses

@JosephNoonan I am assuming difference between T-5 and T0 as otherwise it’s a failure to snipe

@Shrewdsun Ok, so if it goes back below 50% (it was at 48% 5 min before close), then it will resolve NO, but if it stays above 50%, it resolves YES?

@JosephNoonan That is my understanding but I’m not market creator

@Shrewdsun the creator already answered this question

@JosephNoonan No. See the comments below.

@vincentpearce Well fuck me… that’s a gg on pretty much my whole net worth

fucking stupid but oh well… people failed to snipe imo but can’t do anything about that. Probably best I stopped playing as it’s quite the distraction

@Shrewdsun bad luck :(

i won't be awake to snipe it :((

@RICHARDZHU hihi, I probably wont be awake either 😊

I like this one because it is a paradox. If you vote either yes or no, then it decreases the chance that you will guess correctly

How does this resolve if it is at 40% at T-5min, at 60% at T-3min, and closes at 40%?

@JimHays Resolves as yes

@JimHays I guess a better explanation would be that some tries to snipe this market

@NathanDickson Should have put that in the title… god dammit