Will Trump publicly question the validity of the 2024 election results if he loses?
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Plus
18
Ṁ1020
Feb 5
92%
chance

Must call into question the election result itself, questioning whether some aspect of the election process was valid will only resolve yes if it is stated or strongly implied that the election result was therefore also potentially invalid (note that I won't bet in the market in order to resolve impartially to the best of my judgement)

An outright claim that the result was invalid would also resolve yes

Reports that he questioned people around him do not count, must be a public announcement of some form (social media post, speech, interview etc)

Resolves N/A if Trump wins, or if Trump isn't the republican presidential nominee

Resolves no if Trump hasn't made any statements or questions to the effect within 3 months of the election

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Given the high confidence in this market, have created another with a stricter criteria:

He will either question the validity or be dead. Those are the only possibilities.

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