This market resolves YES if more than 790 people are reported as dead or wounded by the Gun Violence Archive. According to CBS (using the Gun Violence Archive Data), 220 people were shot and 570 people were injured. This market resolves NO if at most 790 are reported as dead or wounded by the Gun Violence Archive.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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The market title and market resolution criteria did not perfectly agree as noted below. Fortunately, there were so few shootings this fourth of July compared to last year that the resolution is unambiguously no.
If the resolution criteria was just July 4th then this year there were 29 killed and 109 injured, and last year there were 80 killed and 275 injured. If the resolution criteria were the whole weekend, then this year there were 195 killed and 515 injured (and this includes all days from Saturday to Tuesday) and last year there were 228 killed and 574 injured (and this includes all days from Saturday to Monday.) Shootings appear to be way down this July 4th.
@JimAusman to add on, as of this comment there are only 57 incidents (according to the archive) so far for July 4, 17 dead, 40 injured. Smells like peace boyos.