How should I handle my Conservative Derision Market

resolved Nov 3

Do nothing

Create a new market and leave the old market open.

Create a new market and resolve the old market as N/A.

Change the terms of the market so that it has a closing date.

Some other thing specified in the comments.

I created a market about conservative derision, and I regret the way that I specified it. In particular, I did not include a closing date, which makes it impossible for any answer to resolve no. I would appreciate counsel as to what to do.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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I think it being a prediction for, say, next year could be a bit more interesting. Maybe even specifically up to election day?

@Marnix Also, as far as it counts, I didn't even notice that it didn't have an end date so it didn't affect my bids

@Marnix I was just thinking this myself! I think it may be better to keep the old market and create a separate market for that and have it just be focused on the nominees. Right now the response is largely being driven by commentators, which I am sort of regretting.

@Nadja_L Honestly, that sounds even more interesting to watch! I'm for it

I’m not sure I understand the specific problems with that market. Can you elaborate?

@oh The central problem is that at present I will never resolve the market NO and each answer is independent, so there is no incentive to bet NO, except for the incentive that others will irrationally do so or that I will change the market to resolve NO at some point in time.

I hope that is clear! If not, I probably didn't elaborate enough, so you can ask again, and I will write even more!

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