Will I exceed my all-time PRs in the Big 3 Lifts before the end of 2024?
Mini
2
307
2025
94%
chance

About a decade ago (when I was in my early twenties), I took weightlifting moderately seriously for a period of about a year. During that time, I was overweight and primarily focused on losing weight, so I never had a prolonged period of time spent weight training while eating in a caloric surplus (and most of my time was spent in at least a moderate deficit, in fact). After sustaining an injury that kept me out of the gym for a while, I fell off the wagon.

My PRs for the Big Three Lifts were as follows (at a bodyweight of around 200 lbs):

Deadlift: 265 lbs for 5 reps = 298 lbs 1-Rep Max

Squat: 245 lbs for 5 reps = 276 lbs 1-Rep Max

Bench press: 225 lbs for 5 reps = 253 lbs 1-Rep Max

My interest in weightlifting has waxed and waned in the years since, but because a renewal in my interest in fitness always coincides with my bodyweight peaking, I have never bulked (and so have never gotten the advantage of weight training with a caloric surplus).

Well, this year will mark the first time. I'm going to be finishing up a cut next month, and I will begin my first ever bulk in July. My tentative plan is to gain about 15 lbs over the course of 4 months or so. This will probably have me going from around 165 lbs or so up to around 180 lbs or so.

I will be weight training for the entire duration, hopefully averaging 3-4 workouts per week. I will not specifically be focusing on the Big 3 Lifts, but they will almost certainly feature prominently.

My current lifts (2024-05-10) are as follows:

Deadlift: 205 lbs for 6 reps = 238 lbs 1-Rep Max (versus 298 all-time)

Squat: 150 lbs for 6 reps = 174 lbs 1-Rep Max (versus 276 all-time)

Bench press: 150 lbs for 9 reps = 193 lbs 1-Rep Max (versus 253 all-time)

Note that these numbers might plausibly increase or decrease before the beginning of my bulk, depending on how the rest of my cut goes. I will provide an update as soon as my cut ends.

Resolves to YES if, before the end of 2024, I complete at least one set for each of the Big 3 Lifts which converts to a 1-Rep Max which is higher than my historical 1-Rep Max PR for that lift.

Resolves to NO otherwise.

I will be participating in the market, but I will only buy YES shares and I will never sell them. I will answer questions about my progress upon request (and I anticipate that I will probably provide regular updates regardless).

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