Resolves yes if either Brandon Sanderson dragonsteel or a production company announce that they have signed for a mistborn movie
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From State of the Sanderson 2023:
Part Six: The Mistborn Film, Hollywood, and Video Games
The Mistborn film has been in development but has run into some hiccups and is on pause for now, but I hope to have more news to share in 2024. But really, there’s not much else to report. Snapshot (the novella) is still being tinkered with at Universal. It might be the only thing under option right now, because I basically put everything else on hold, despite interest, as I decide on a strategy.
Tress would make a pretty great animated feature though, don’t you think?
NOTE: It isn't clear what "in development" means. It could mean that negotiations have been in development. I don't think this counts as an announcement "that they have signed for a Mistborn movie."
@HankyUSA Hmmm yeah I got excited for a second but this looks like nothing we didn't already know.
@Joshua Good thing you reversed course. I was just liquidating some other shares to bet against you.
@LukeHanks Brandon made a statement on Reddit that he was overcompetent last year and due to a combination of various fantasy properties underperforming (particularly Lord of the Rings) and the writers' strike things are moving a lot slower than they were
From [State of the Sanderson 2022](https://www.brandonsanderson.com/state-of-the-sanderson-2022/):
Stormlight is my main focus right now, but Era Three of Mistborn will take over as my primary focus once the first arc of Stormlight is finished. So expect no Mistborn updates next year, but then the year after they will start again as I really look hard at Era Three.
Also from State of the Sanderson 2022:
The thing is, if I had announcements on this front, I absolutely would have made them at Dragonsteel 2022.
So, I regret to tell you, I can’t say much about Hollywood projects right now. Basically, we want our proverbial ducks in a row before we make any announcements. Hollywood things are moving, and moving well, for the first time in my life. I’m hoping that by this time next year you’ll know what has been going on behind the scenes—but making things in Hollywood is challenging, and can take a lot of time. (Particularly if you want to do it right.) So it’s possible that we still might not have a Hollywood announcement next year, either. We’ll see.
@LukeHanks We know he spent enough time last year negotiating with TV and movie people that it delayed stormlight 5 and he said he would be surprised if they didn't start filming this year and at the end of last year he said if he had something to announce he would have done at dragon steel con so I'm not reducing my probability until we get to this year's dragon steel con
@MordecaiWeynberg This market is specifically for Mistborn and specifically a movie. Nothing you mentioned points to Mistborn over other Brandon Sanderson works or points to a movie over a TV series. What makes you so confident it will be Mistborn movie specifically?
@LukeHanks Brandon Sanderson has spent years saying that a Mistborn movie is the correct start for adaptayshuns
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