Will there be a confirmed case of locally acquired monkeypox Clade I outside of the African continent in 2024?
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26kṀ170kresolved Nov 10
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YES1H
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Follow up qn : https://manifold.markets/MitiSaksena/will-there-be-more-than-10-cases-of
Mpox Clade I has long been endemic in DRC. Over the last yr cases are up 160% and have been reported in Kenya, CAR, Rwanda.
Case fatality rate 3%
It is spread by close contact, sexual contact.
The poxes are quite visible (easy to diagnose), unsure latent infective period.
Clade 1 has never left the African continent to have secondary infections outside it.
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