Will I run at least 300 miles in 2024?
10
72
130
2025
95%
chance

Resolves YES if I run at least 300 miles by December 31, 2024. Resolves NO otherwise. I track my mileage with a Garmin Watch. Starting in 2024, I will attempt to periodically update this question with year-to-date numbers so bettors can adjust their predictions; if I get around to it, I may try to automate the process.

2024 progress so far:

January: 38 miles

February: 26 miles

March: 54 miles

Total YTD: 118 miles

My running history for the past 5 years:

2023: 206 miles

2022: 20 miles

2021: 56 miles

2020: 256 miles

2019: 152 miles

Rules I'll abide by:

  • My goal for this is motivation, so I will not bet against myself.

  • Likewise, I will not sell any YES shares I've acquired, even if I get to a point where I no longer feel I'm capable of completing the goal.

  • Failing due to injury or illness will still result in a resolution of NO.

Get Ṁ200 play money