When will "Mistral-medium" weights be available?
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ923
2026
3%
December 2023
5%
[Later than December 2025]
41%
January 2024
4%
February 2024
47%
Other

https://mistral.ai/news/la-plateforme/

Add options in the format "Month Year". Resolves to the month a variant of the Mistral-medium prototype model has weights available for download.

Variant means that Mistral claims it to be derived from Mistral-medium.

If not released by December 2025 or if no downloadable models can clearly have their training ancestry traced to Mistral-medium, resolves to "[Later than December 2025]".

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

This market should be resolved for January 2024.

@MiroFurtado Why? The full weights don’t appear to be part of the leak

Quantized and leaked weights would count, but Mistral must claim the leak to be derived from Mistral medium.

We do have a statement from the CEO of Mistral, but no claim that it is related to Mistral medium. If later they make such a claim, it can still resolve January even once January has long passed.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules