This is part of a series of markets about things I could do in 2024. See: /Mira/which-of-mira-s-cool-ideas-will-mir
Summary
Manifold has AI art on every market. Wouldn't it be cool if they had a custom model that knew about the Manifold logo and Mana-chan? So every market would get a Manifold-themed banner.
Marketing and advertising companies might want custom models that know about characters in the latest movie or game; and the graphic designers for marketing are different from the graphic designers on the actual product. So maybe it would be helpful for the marketing team to have a custom model that consistently generates advertising material in the "company style".
You're a small indie game developer without much money. You can afford concept art for your characters, but paying for a full game is really expensive. What if you could feed a dozen images to train a custom AI art model, and pick-and-choose outputs to train an even better model or create all the art for your game?
This would be a website where you upload images for a dataset and pay to have models trained off of them. You can pay more to have an artist help(such artist being trained to know how to create custom models).
Download the models and run them yourself, or the site could do inference for you too.
Market Mechanics
Trigger condition: Deploying any application website to a domain name. Planning, writing prototype code, a static placeholder website, etc. will not be sufficient as minimal effort for this market.
Resolves NA if the trigger condition is not met. Otherwise, resolves to the logarithmic interpolation between nearest bounding answers(or to $1 if I start this but don't make any positive profit for the entire year). Units are "profit in USD". I'll add new options at multiples of 10 as needed before resolving.
Example: I make $500 in annual profit. The nearest options are $100 and $1000. Then this market resolves (ln(500) - ln(100)) / (ln(1000) - ln(100)) = 70% $1000 and 30% 100.
"Profit" is income minus expenses. I'll have to calculate expenses for my taxes, so e.g. OpEx will count 100% as an expense, CapEx will probably be weighted 20%. A salary to myself would count as an expense. Equity doesn't count as income.
Mira will not trade on this market(or will market sell if I accidentally do).