If @Mira invents AI girlfriends, how much money will it make? (2024)
7
106
455
resolved Apr 24
ResolvedN/A
7%
$1
3%
$100
9%
$1,000
20%
$10,000
55%
$100,000
3%
$1,000,000
4%Other

This is part of a series of markets about things I could do in 2024. See also: /Mira/which-of-mira-s-cool-ideas-will-mir

Summary

Tired of your fellow humans always bothering you? Always chatting about irrelevant and unimportant people like Taylor Swift? Constantly begging for sex and attention?

Maybe you should drop those pathetic humans and try an AI girlfriend. Turn her on and off whenever you want.

A finetune+prompting of the leading LLMs to be your perfect waifu. And she knows how to generate consistent-looking selfies. And more...

Mix and match personality modules until her words become a superstimulus that you can hardly stop reading. Your conversations are stored in a vector database for easy lookup later, and if you change her personality the new variant will have all the memories of the old variant.

$20/month for unrestricted and uncensored chat.

We have experimental catboys too, and oh do they purr.

Market Mechanics

Trigger condition: Deploying any application website to a domain name. Planning, writing prototype code, a static placeholder website, etc. will not be sufficient as minimal effort for this market.

Resolves NA if the trigger condition is not met. Otherwise, resolves to the logarithmic interpolation between nearest bounding answers(or to $1 if I start this but don't make any positive profit for the entire year). Units are "profit in USD". I'll add new options at multiples of 10 as needed before resolving.

Example: I make $500 in annual profit. The nearest options are $100 and $1000. Then this market resolves (ln(500) - ln(100)) / (ln(1000) - ln(100)) = 70% $1000 and 30% 100.

"Profit" is income minus expenses. I'll have to calculate expenses for my taxes, so e.g. OpEx will count 100% as an expense, CapEx will probably be weighted 20%. A salary to myself would count as an expense. Equity doesn't count as income.

Mira will not trade on this market(or will market sell if I accidentally do).

Get Ṁ200 play money
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Canceling a bunch of low-volume personal markets due to the pivot.