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MANIFOLD
Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 700 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ5
2027
52%
chance

This market resolves YES if the value of measurable needle_coke_spot_price exceeds 700 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027.

See measurable definition: measurables/graphite/needle_coke_spot_price.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: Premium petroleum needle coke spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.

YES if: Premium needle coke China price >= 700 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027 NO if: Premium needle coke China price < 700 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Asian Metal needle coke prices (asianmetal.com)

  2. Argus Media petroleum needle coke assessment (argusmedia.com)

  3. Fastmarkets needle coke price (fastmarkets.com)

  4. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) needle coke (smm.cn)

Market context
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